Confidence
in US leadership declined significantly between
2016 and 2017, according to a new report from the Institute for Economics and
Peace (IEP).
The
report found people on average now have more confidence in Chinese leadership
than in US leadership.
Steve
Killelea, the founder and executive chairman of IEP, told INSIDER that global
confidence in US leadership experienced a “precipitous drop” after Trump’s
election.
Killelea
pointed to the “poor press” Trump has received internationally, while noting
that global confidence in the US was much higher under former President Barack
Obama.
Global
confidence in US leadership fell 11.2 percentage points from 2016 to 2017,
according to the report.
People
around the world now have more confidence in the leadership of China than the
US, according to a new report from the Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP).
It is part of a downward trend that began in 2016.
“Confidence
in US leadership has fallen more than confidence in Russian, Chinese, and
German leadership in the past five years, with people on average now having
more confidence in Chinese leadership than the US,” the 2019 Global Peace Index
report said.
The overall
approval of US leadership has fallen 17 points since 2008, according to the
IEP, but the largest drop happened in recent years. Global confidence in US
leadership fell 11.2 percentage points from 2016 to 2017, according to the
report, which also said approval of US leadership has fallen in almost all
regions since 2016.
China is a
top rival of the US, with tensions rising to new heights since President Donald
Trump took office. The US is currently locked in a trade war with China as the
Pentagon warns of its expanding military capabilities and global presence.
China also
routinely ranks among the worst human rights abusers in the world, but that has
apparently not hurt perceptions of its leadership in certain parts of the
globe.
“Over the
last four years there has been a rise in the confidence in China,” Steve
Killelea, founder and executive chairman of IEP, told INSIDER. “That’s mainly
happened in the more authoritarian states and the less peaceful states …
They’re likely to be more closer to China.”
Killelea
said the other factor that needs to be taken into account is the “precipitous
drop” that occurred in confidence of US leadership in 2016 and 2017 “after the
election of President Trump,” pointing to the “poor press” that Trump has
received worldwide.
“To put more
perspective in it, [former President Barack Obama] was very, very popular
internationally and if we went back prior to Obama in the latter years of
[former President George W. Bush] the approval levels were … about the same as
what they are now,” Killelea said, adding that the lower rate of confidence in
US leadership under Bush was linked to issues like the Iraq War, which began in
2003 under his administration.
The 2019
Global Peace Index also showed that the US has become less peaceful over the
past year, dropping to 128th out of 163 countries in this year’s index. The
decline in peacefulness in the US could be attributed to “increased homicide,
violent crime and political instability; ongoing international military
engagements; increased military expenditure (% GDP) and armed services
personnel rate; and reduced UN peacekeeping funding.”
Killelea
said “the political process in the US is becoming more confrontational,”
highlighting the discussions on impeachment currently occurring in Washington,
to which he attributed political instability.
With the US
polarized on an array of issues, there’s no “middle ground,” and its politics
have become more “extreme” with less “compromise,” Killelea said, which has
fostered the political volatility.
Meanwhile,
the report found that global peacefulness rose overall for the first time in
five years, but also said the world remains less peaceful than it was a decade
ago. The average level of peacefulness has declined by roughly 4% worldwide
since 2008.
Conflict in
the Middle East has been “the key driver of the global deterioration in
peacefulness,” according to the report, which also found that Afghanistan has
replaced Syria as the world’s least peaceful country. The US military is active
in four out of five of the countries identified in the report as the least
peaceful in the world: Afghanistan, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen.
The report
covers 99.7% of the global population and the index is based on 23 qualitative
and quantitative indicators, which are grouped into three larger themes:
ongoing conflict, safety and security, and militarization.
“The
Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP) is an independent, non-partisan,
non-profit think tank dedicated to
shifting the world’s focus to peace as a positive, achievable, and tangible measure of human wellbeing and
progress,” the report explains. It ranks the level of peacefulness in 163 independent states and territories. It also measures
shifting the world’s focus to peace as a positive, achievable, and tangible measure of human wellbeing and
progress,” the report explains. It ranks the level of peacefulness in 163 independent states and territories. It also measures
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